Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

Posted on 六月 10, 2006. Filed under: 相關論文, 研究方法 |

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. Justin Wolfers and Eric Zizewitz. 2005. February.

本文以理論分析証明由預測市場所決定出來的市場價格可有效地估計未來事件發生的機率。

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