Prediction Markets

Posted on 六月 10, 2006. Filed under: 相關論文, 研究方法 |

Prediction Markets. Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz. 2004. Journal of Economic Perspectives 18, 2: 107-126.

整合市場的資訊並加以分析,可以幫助研究者有效率且準確地預測未來事件發生的機率。此外,研究者還可以透過預測市場中契約的設計來增加預測的精準度。

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