Wishes, Expectations and Actions: A Survey on Price Formation in Election Stock Markets

Posted on 六月 10, 2006. Filed under: 相關論文, 研究方法 |

Wishes, Expectations and Actions: A Survey on Price Formation in Election Stock Markets. R. Forsythe, T.A. Rietz, & T. W. Ross. 1999. The Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 39, 1: 83-110.

本文探討當人們有預測偏誤(wish fulfillment)時,預測市場是否能真正評估標的物的價格?作者透過不同的實驗試驗來檢驗選舉期貨市場,結果發現具有預測偏誤的參與者只是少部分參與者,然而真正決定價格的是全部參與者的部分意見,因此並不會影響預測市場的有效性。

Make a Comment

發表迴響

在下方填入你的資料或按右方圖示以社群網站登入:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / 變更 )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / 變更 )

Facebook照片

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / 變更 )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / 變更 )

連結到 %s

Liked it here?
Why not try sites on the blogroll...

%d 位部落客按了讚: