Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

Posted on 七月 16, 2006. Filed under: 相關論文 |

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice. Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz. 2005. Prepared for The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Edition (forthcoming). November.

本文彙整最近關於預測市場的研究。特別被強調的理論貢獻是:

  • 這些預測市場可能可以有效率地匯總散佈的資訊。
  • 這些預測市場所產生的預測通常勝過其他的預測工具。

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